首先，用一个简单的案例向大家介绍一下什么是“幸存者偏差”。 二战期间，盟军需要对战斗机进行装甲加厚，以提高生还率，但由于军费有限，只能进行局部升级。那么问题来了，究竟哪个部位最关键，最值得把装甲加厚来抵御敌方炮火呢？人们众口不一，最后一致决定采用统计调查的方式来解决，即：仔细检查每一驾...
first, with a simple case to everybody introduction about what is "survivor bias". During the Second World War, the Allies needed to carry out the armor to improve the survival rate, but due to limited military spending, only local upgrade. So the question is, which part of the most critical, the most worthy of the armor to resist the enemy fire? People criticize, decided by statistical investigation way, namely: check each driving...
